Lesson 2 of 194 hours

Motion Graphs and Mathematical Models

Start with the lesson question, connect the representations, and test the model with evidence.

motion graphsmodel fittingslopesigned arearesidualsuncertainty

Learning objectives

  • Create and connect motion diagrams, graphs, and algebraic models.
  • Analyze one- and two-dimensional motion using evidence.
  • Justify predictions with units, signs, and limiting cases.
Lesson flowHook, model, explanationShow guidance

Inspect the opening phenomenon

Predict what changes, then name the evidence.

Apply in the lab

Name the evidence before reading the answer.

Read only what helps

Then use the lab and recall check.

More when needed

Transcript and resources stay available below.

Course progress

AP Physics 1 — Algebra-Based · Kinematics · Lesson 2

Motion Graphs and Mathematical Models

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Decision challenge

Observe the phenomenon. Then connect the representations.

Use the opening example to make a prediction, identify evidence, and explain which model supports it.

Residual Plots Catch Bad Physics Models | AP Physics 1

Predict whether a smooth fit is sufficient, inspect the residual pattern, and test the model against physics.

Predict whether a smooth fit is sufficient, inspect the residual pattern, and test the model against physics.

Reference drawerTranscript, source notes, scripts, and package status stay tucked away until you need them.7 files

Lesson reading

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4 hr

Video script

draft

Transcript fallback

available

courses/ap-physics-1/modules/01-kinematics/lessons/02-motion-graphs-and-mathematical-models/video-transcript.md

Select and Test a Motion Model

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1 hr 20 min

Mastery check

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7 questions / 15 min

Book section:courses/ap-physics-1/modules/01-kinematics/lessons/02-motion-graphs-and-mathematical-models/book-section.md
Transcript for accessibility and fallback

# Accessible transcript: The Residual Plot Catches Bad Physics A curve can look perfect and still be the wrong physics model. Fit a straight line to an accelerating cart. The line may look close, but calculate measured minus predicted position. Those residuals form a curve instead of random scatter. That pattern says the linear model missed acceleration. Try a quadratic position model. Its t-squared coefficient equals one-half the acceleration, and the residual pattern disappears. Quick check: does a high R-squared alone prove the model? Pause. No. Check residuals, units, assumptions, and withheld predictions. Build better physics models free at EduQuest AI. ## Visual description Measured position points are first compared with a straight line. A U-shaped residual plot exposes systematic error. A quadratic curve then follows the data and leaves residuals scattered around zero. A warning states that fit statistics alone do not establish a physical model.

Reading lab

Core explanation

Connect the lesson's words, diagrams, graphs, evidence, and equations.

Driving question

How can graph shape, slope, area, and residuals turn measurements into a defensible motion model?

Before learning: match the story

A cart moves right, slows uniformly, stops, and then moves left faster and faster. Sketch its position-time, velocity-time, and acceleration-time graphs before reading further. Mark the stopping instant on every graph.

Hook: a graph can predict a measurement you never used

A model becomes useful when it predicts withheld data—not merely when its curve looks smooth. Motion graphs encode rates of change and accumulation, while residuals reveal patterns the fitted equation misses.

Three graphs, one motion

For one-dimensional motion,

v=dxdt,a=dvdt.v=\frac{dx}{dt},\qquad a=\frac{dv}{dt}.

Graphically:

  • slope of xx versus tt is velocity;
  • slope of vv versus tt is acceleration;
  • signed area under vv versus tt is displacement;
  • signed area under aa versus tt is velocity change.

Aligned position velocity and acceleration graphs for constant negative acceleration

The graphs are not pictures of the path. Their vertical coordinates represent measured variables, and their shapes constrain one another.

Piecewise motion and sign

A horizontal segment on x(t)x(t) means zero velocity. A horizontal segment on v(t)v(t) means zero acceleration. A segment below the time axis on v(t)v(t) means motion in the negative direction—not necessarily slowing down.

When velocity crosses zero, direction changes if the sign changes. Position has a local maximum or minimum at that instant, depending on how velocity changes sign.

Build a linear model

For approximately constant velocity,

x(t)=x0+vt.x(t)=x_0+vt.

In a linear fit x=b+mtx=b+mt, slope mm estimates velocity and intercept bb estimates position at t=0t=0. Units are evidence: mm must have position/time units.

Worked example: constant-speed cart

Measured positions are 0.310.31, 0.720.72, 1.101.10, and 1.51 m1.51\text{ m} at 00, 11, 22, and 3 s3\text{ s}. A fit gives

x=(0.305 m)+(0.399 m/s)t.x=(0.305\text{ m})+(0.399\text{ m/s})t.

At t=4.0 st=4.0\text{ s}, the model predicts 1.90 m1.90\text{ m}. A prediction should be compared with a withheld measurement and its uncertainty.

Build a constant-acceleration model

For constant acceleration,

x(t)=x0+v0t+12at2,x(t)=x_0+v_0t+\frac12at^2,

and

v(t)=v0+at.v(t)=v_0+at.

In a quadratic fit x=c0+c1t+c2t2x=c_0+c_1t+c_2t^2, interpret c0=x0c_0=x_0, c1=v0c_1=v_0, and c2=a/2c_2=a/2. Coefficients require units: c2c_2 has m/s2\text{m/s}^2.

Measured position points with linear and quadratic models

Worked example: cart released on an incline

A quadratic fit gives

x=(0.020 m)+(0.080 m/s)t+(0.600 m/s2)t2.x=(0.020\text{ m})+(0.080\text{ m/s})t+(0.600\text{ m/s}^2)t^2.

Therefore x0=0.020 mx_0=0.020\text{ m}, v0=0.080 m/sv_0=0.080\text{ m/s}, and

a=2(0.600)=1.20 m/s2.a=2(0.600)=1.20\text{ m/s}^2.

The factor of two is essential.

Residuals expose model mismatch

A residual is

ri=xmeasured,ixpredicted,i.r_i=x_{measured,i}-x_{predicted,i}.

For a suitable model, residuals should scatter around zero without a systematic pattern. Curved residuals from a linear fit suggest the motion is accelerating. A trend that grows with time may indicate a wrong model, timing bias, drag, changing acceleration, or calibration error.

Random residual scatter compared with curved patterned residuals

A large R2R^2 alone does not prove the physics model is valid. Inspect residuals, parameter units, uncertainty, model assumptions, and withheld predictions.

Slope from an interval

Average velocity over t1t_1 to t2t_2 is the secant slope:

vavg=x(t2)x(t1)t2t1.v_{avg}=\frac{x(t_2)-x(t_1)}{t_2-t_1}.

Instantaneous velocity is approximated from a tangent or a sufficiently small symmetric interval. Making the interval smaller reduces curvature bias but can amplify measurement noise—a real experimental tradeoff.

Signed area from a velocity graph

Suppose velocity increases linearly from 2.0-2.0 to +4.0 m/s+4.0\text{ m/s} over 3.0 s3.0\text{ s}. Its average value is +1.0 m/s+1.0\text{ m/s}, so displacement is

Δx=(1.0)(3.0)=+3.0 m.\Delta x=(1.0)(3.0)=+3.0\text{ m}.

Distance is larger because the negative and positive regions must be added by magnitude after finding the zero crossing.

During learning: model audit

  1. Identify each graph's variables and units.
  2. Connect slopes and signed areas before selecting equations.
  3. State the candidate model and physical assumptions.
  4. Fit using only a training interval when testing prediction.
  5. Inspect residual pattern and parameter uncertainty.
  6. Evaluate withheld data and state the model's useful range.

Misconception clinic

“A motion graph shows the path.” It shows one variable versus another.

“A best-fit curve proves the model.” Fit quality must be tested with residuals, uncertainty, and prediction.

“Area below the velocity axis is negative distance.” It is negative displacement; distance uses magnitudes.

“The t2t^2 coefficient is acceleration.” It equals a/2a/2 in the constant-acceleration position model.

“More decimal places mean greater accuracy.” Precision must reflect measurement and fit uncertainty.

After learning: retrieval and transfer

  1. What do slope on x(t)x(t) and area under v(t)v(t) represent?
  2. What residual pattern would challenge a constant-velocity model?
  3. A quadratic coefficient is 0.45 m/s2-0.45\text{ m/s}^2. What is acceleration?
  4. Why should some data be withheld from fitting?
  5. How can a small interval improve and worsen a slope estimate?

AP-style evidence routine

  1. Define system, axes, origin, and interval.
  2. Label measured variables and uncertainties.
  3. Sketch expected graphs before fitting.
  4. Fit a physically motivated model and interpret coefficients with units.
  5. Inspect residuals and test a withheld prediction.
  6. State the valid range, limitations, and alternative explanations.

Key takeaway

A mathematical model earns trust by connecting representations, producing physically meaningful parameters, leaving unpatterned residuals, and predicting data it did not fit.

Further learning and alignment

Practice labSelect and Test a Motion ModelOpen this when you are ready to apply the model, collect evidence, and check your explanation.1 hr 20 min

Lab: Select and Test a Motion Model

Objective

Can position-time data distinguish constant-velocity from constant-acceleration motion and accurately predict withheld measurements?

Safety

Work under teacher supervision. Secure the track or travel lane, use a low-speed cart, keep hands and feet clear, install a soft stop, place cameras outside the path, and do not allow objects to fall from tables. Use only a gentle approved incline.

Materials

  • low-speed cart and level track plus optional gentle incline;
  • meterstick or calibrated markers;
  • fixed phone/camera, motion sensor, or photogates;
  • spreadsheet or graph paper;
  • tape and soft stop.

Low-cost alternative: toy cart, floor markers, and slow-motion phone video.

Simulation alternative: teacher-approved motion simulation with exported position-time data; identify idealizations.

Steps

  1. Define origin, positive direction, time zero, and measurement precision.
  2. Record one nearly constant-velocity run and one gently accelerating run.
  3. Extract at least 12 equally spaced position-time measurements per run.
  4. Reserve the final three data points as a withheld test set.
  5. Fit linear and quadratic models to the remaining points.
  6. Interpret every coefficient with units.
  7. Plot residuals for both candidate models.
  8. Predict the withheld positions and compare with measurements.

Expected Result

The level-track run should favor a linear model, while the incline run should favor a quadratic model. The selected model should show less residual pattern and better withheld prediction within uncertainty.

Analysis

  • Report fit parameters with appropriate precision and uncertainty.
  • Compare residual plots, not only R2R^2.
  • Calculate withheld prediction error and compare it with position uncertainty.
  • Derive a velocity model from the selected position model.
  • Discuss perspective, frame timing, scale calibration, rolling resistance, track tilt, and release impulse.

Reflection Questions

  1. Which evidence most strongly distinguished the models?
  2. Did the best training fit also make the best withheld prediction?
  3. What does a curved residual pattern indicate?
  4. Where should each model stop being trusted?

Claim-evidence-reasoning conclusion

Claim which model is better for each run. Cite residual pattern, coefficient meaning, uncertainty, and withheld errors, then connect evidence to constant velocity or acceleration.

Accessibility

Offer safety, setup, release, camera, measurement, graphing, residual analysis, and narration roles. Use high-contrast markers, verbal graph descriptions, and screen-reader tables. Learners may complete analysis using shared data.

Extension Challenge

Use the quadratic model to predict the time at which the cart reaches one safe marked position not included in the dataset. Test once and evaluate the discrepancy.